Wall street journal analisys: Substitutes - timing

[cmonurz]

He also found that the timing of subs has no effect on the team ahead in the score or if the match is tied.

Dr. Myers said the rule shows that coaches underestimate the significance of fatigue late in a match, which causes them to overvalue starters and undervalue substitutes.


But only if a team is losing...?

It's interesting enough, but flawed conclusions. And imho you need a bigger sample than one season.

[6ft Kerplunk]

He also found that the timing of subs has no effect on the team ahead in the score or if the match is tied.

Dr. Myers said the rule shows that coaches underestimate the significance of fatigue late in a match, which causes them to overvalue starters and undervalue substitutes.


But only if a team is losing...?

It's interesting enough, but flawed conclusions. And imho you need a bigger sample than one season.

Can understand it not affecting a team thats winning. They'll be more likely to bring on an extra defensive player to protect their lead rather than a losing team chucking on more strikers.