Manager Betting

[Schards#2]

Nomad, it's highly unlikely that Hughes will go BEFORE Sunday
but McDermott MIGHT.

Come Sunday RFC are at QPR and the bookies have QPR 5/6 to win it and we are higher than 3/1

If QPR lose I'd say it's 50-75% likely that Hughes would be sacked

If Reading lose I'd say it's 40% likely McD would go. If they lose badly I'd say it would be 75-90% likely
and if we then lost to Norwich, 99%


So the point is, NOT that McD should go, or that I think he WILL go
but that it's "almost" a 22-1 pay-out for a QPR win on Sunday, which,
backed directly only pays 5/6


No guarantees, of course, but what odds would McD be if we knew he was losing at QPR?

Think that's stretching it a bit, by your own reckoning it's less than 50/50 unless we lose big. You also need to factor in the possibility of Adkins being sacked on Saturday should Southampton get caned again.

I reckon McDermott is around a 4/1 shot, therefore, a cracking bet at 22/1

[Royal Lady]

It's also first manager to leave, not be fired - so worth bearing that in mind - even AZ doesn't fire the bullet, McD may consider his position is untenable and resign. Although, I hope he doesn't and I hope we thrash QPR and Sunday is our comeback where we start winning and storm up the table.

[Simon's Church]

even AZ doesn't fire the bullet, McD may consider his position is untenable and resign.

Not a chance in hell.

[Schards#2]

even AZ doesn't fire the bullet, McD may consider his position is untenable and resign.

Not a chance in hell.

You've quoted the wrong bit

[mr_number]

even AZ doesn't fire the bullet, McD may consider his position is untenable and resign.

Not a chance in hell.

I'm not sure someone like Brian would leave in the middle of such an important run of fixtures.

[creative_username_1]

Nomad, it's highly unlikely that Hughes will go BEFORE Sunday
but McDermott MIGHT.

Come Sunday RFC are at QPR and the bookies have QPR 5/6 to win it and we are higher than 3/1

If QPR lose I'd say it's 50-75% likely that Hughes would be sacked

If Reading lose I'd say it's 40% likely McD would go. If they lose badly I'd say it would be 75-90% likely
and if we then lost to Norwich, 99%


So the point is, NOT that McD should go, or that I think he WILL go
but that it's "almost" a 22-1 pay-out for a QPR win on Sunday, which,
backed directly only pays 5/6


No guarantees, of course, but what odds would McD be if we knew he was losing at QPR?

Think that's stretching it a bit, by your own reckoning it's less than 50/50 unless we lose big. You also need to factor in the possibility of Adkins being sacked on Saturday should Southampton get caned again.

I reckon McDermott is around a 4/1 shot, therefore, a cracking bet at 22/1

How did you price it up? Quick look at the market and i'm guessing they have an overound of about 250%. Pure guesswork (not saying you're wrong btw)

[Snowball]

You also need to factor in the possibility of Adkins being sacked on Saturday should Southampton get caned again.

I am prepared to offer 1,000-1 against that. (£50 minimum bet)

I reckon McDermott is around a 4/1 shot, therefore, a cracking bet at 22/1

I went to try to put a ton on that with Stan James. Put a tenner on first to then get a free tenner
but when I then tried to bet the other £90 it kept refusing saying maximum bet was £8-10p
then the facility for the bet disappeared altogether.

I contacted tech support and they said market was closed until the morning

(I thought maybe there'd been a rush of money...)

[Snowball]

PS I really don't think "next" will be McD. I'm just saying the odds are extremely generous

[Pepe the Horseman]

Should be back up now snowballers. Still 20s with Sky Bet and a couple of others if you can't lump any more on with Stan James.

[Lacoste]

Sky bet are offering a free £10 bet for new phone users plus a free £5 bet every week.

Not sure how good their odds are though.

[Snowball]

Stan James still refusing anything more than £8

[creative_username_1]

It's a tiny little market with no liquidity mostly used for publicity

[Snowball]

had to ring a special number, placed the bet
but then was told it had to be referred
and I was put on hold


Waited abt 5 mins before the bet was OK'd

[Schards#2]

Nomad, it's highly unlikely that Hughes will go BEFORE Sunday
but McDermott MIGHT.

Come Sunday RFC are at QPR and the bookies have QPR 5/6 to win it and we are higher than 3/1

If QPR lose I'd say it's 50-75% likely that Hughes would be sacked

If Reading lose I'd say it's 40% likely McD would go. If they lose badly I'd say it would be 75-90% likely
and if we then lost to Norwich, 99%


So the point is, NOT that McD should go, or that I think he WILL go
but that it's "almost" a 22-1 pay-out for a QPR win on Sunday, which,
backed directly only pays 5/6


No guarantees, of course, but what odds would McD be if we knew he was losing at QPR?

Think that's stretching it a bit, by your own reckoning it's less than 50/50 unless we lose big. You also need to factor in the possibility of Adkins being sacked on Saturday should Southampton get caned again.

I reckon McDermott is around a 4/1 shot, therefore, a cracking bet at 22/1

How did you price it up? Quick look at the market and i'm guessing they have an overound of about 250%. Pure guesswork (not saying you're wrong btw)

Crudely, we are evens to lose at QPR, if we lose I'm guessing there's a 6/4 ish chance that it will be Brian's last game, then there's the risk of someone else getting the bullet in the interim.

[Schards#2]

You also need to factor in the possibility of Adkins being sacked on Saturday should Southampton get caned again.

I am prepared to offer 1,000-1 against that. (£50 minimum bet)

If I was confident a total stranger from the internet would pay up £50,000, I'd go for that on the terms of Adkins not being Southampton manager by Kick off at Loftus Road on Sunday as I'd say that's no more than a 50/1 shot.

[Tony Le Mesmer]

I used to be a big betting man

I think that says it all really

[Schards#2]

16s with Sky bet now.

Anywhere still 20's?

Billy Hills

Snowball's punt seems to have moved Stan James price into 12's

[Pepe the Horseman]

It's gonna be crippleg8 all over again.

[Snowball]

If I was confident a total stranger from the internet would pay up £50,000, I'd go for that on the terms of Adkins not being Southampton manager by Kick off at Loftus Road on Sunday as I'd say that's no more than a 50/1 shot.

Your Mrs knows my Mrs.

My bet was utterly solid as you said "if Saints lose Saturday"

They aren't playing until Monday

[Snowball]

It's gonna be crippleg8 all over again.

My attitude is I want McDermott to stay, for us to W or D at QPR

But if it goes pear-shaped, we lose and McD goes, I'll have £2,200 compensation